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Presidential Horse Race 2016: President-elect Donald Trump gets last laugh on the establishment

In what the “experts” are calling the biggest upset in the history of American politics, populist conservative Republican Donald Trump crossed the finish line as the unlikeliest of all long-shots and won the 2016 Presidential Horse Race.

If this election were an actual horse race, Trump’s betting odds at the beginning of his run would have been 1000-1. He’s the type of winning ticket you only possess if somehow the tote-master made a mistake in Trump winskeying in your bet.

Trump pulled it off by accomplishing what many of those same “experts” said couldn’t be done, namely beating Hillary Clinton and the Democrats in the swing states that meant the most in the Electoral College. Going into the evening Trump’s vote tallies looked stronger than pre-election polls had predicted in Florida, North Carolina and Ohio. As the night gave way to morning it became apparent that the Republican nominee was doing much better than expected in other places as well, winning Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and maintaining a healthy lead in Michigan.

The infamous “blue wall” was utterly shattered. Bricks are laying all over the place now. Pundits will drone on for years about this election being a one-hit wonder, but you can’t help but think this might be a permanent realignment where the Reagan Democrats have cast off the shackles of the Democrat establishment and come home to a political philosophy that promises to deliver economic opportunity to them.

Hillary Clinton’s “deplorables” proudly struck back!

Yes indeed, one way or another, Trump will “Make America Great Again.”

Niall Stanage of The Hill reports, “Trump, once again, defied all the predictions.

“His condemnations of the political establishment and his insistence that he alone can restore American greatness resonated with voters far from the media epicenters of the east and west coast. They came out in huge numbers to lift him to victory in the key battleground states. Jubiliation built throughout the evening at his election night headquarters at a midtown Manhattan hotel.

“Trump’s win is a huge upset to virtually everyone but the ebullient candidate himself. Clinton had led by around three points in the national polling averages as Election Day dawned, and some data prediction websites had put her chances of victory around 90 percent.”

For what it’s worth, the two are virtually tied in the popular vote. Clinton was buoyed in that respect by a huge surplus in ultra-liberal California, winning the left coast giant by well over two million votes.

There’s no way around it, the data crunchers and media mouths who were so sure Clinton was going to win will take a major hit in their credibility starting today. They botched the 2014 midterm elections predictions and consistently underestimated Republican victories at that time. But this is worse.

2016 is a case where the so-called professional political class consistently wrote off an outsider candidate with a winning message that resonated with the American people but couldn’t be appreciated by the intelligentsia. The phrase “never again” will get a lot of use from here on out.

And that’s not all. The biggest loser on Tuesday evening wasn’t Hillary Clinton or a host of Democrat Senate candidates that underperformed expectations. No, it was the Washington political establishment of both parties.

During his victory speech Trump was effusive in his praise for RNC Chairman Reince Priebus and gracious not only towards Clinton but also all of his political opponents.

“To those who have chosen to not support me in the past, of which there were a few people (audience laughs)…I’m reaching out to you for your guidance and your help so that we can work together and unify our great nation,” Trump said.

It’s true, Reince Priebus deserves praise for being perhaps Trump’s most vocal establishment cheerleader. But what about all the others? What about the John Kasichs, Jeb Bushes and Mitt Romneys of the Republican Party that tossed Trump to the side, scoffing at the notion that the brash outsider could defeat Hillary Clinton.

They said he wasn’t “fit” for office. Apparently the American People disagree.

Most of Trump’s Republican primary opponents were ecstatic on Tuesday night as well. His biggest challenger celebrated Trump’s victory, too.  Anna Giaritelli of the Washington Examiner reports, “Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, congratulated president-elect Donald Trump early Wednesday, calling the Republican's win a ‘victory for the American worker.’

“’I congratulate President-elect Trump on an amazing victory for the American worker…’ Cruz said in a statement released shortly after 3 a.m. EST.

“’This election astonished the pundits. This was a change election. Americans voted for Republicans because of a promise to go to Washington to reverse our current course, and end the Washington cartel — a promise to drain the swamp. Now is the time to follow through on those words with action. We cannot wait even one day to begin implementing a conservative agenda that fulfills those commitments,’ Cruz added.”

Cruz and Trump have had their issues personally but it seems clear Cruz saw a little of himself in Trump’s anti-establishment message. America has finally been set free from the argument that we need stale, plastic non-controversial candidates who shatter their own legs while trying to avoid stepping on toes.

John McCain wouldn’t go after Obama on Jeremiah Wright in 2008. Mitt Romney wouldn’t hit the president on Benghazi in a way that would have been effective in 2012. Both lost because they refused to expose Obama for the corrupt leftist that he’s proven to be over the course of two terms.

Trump ignored the consultants who swore a non-politically correct candidate couldn’t win. Every time the #NeverTrumpers and the leftists wrote off Trump I preached caution. No single news report was going to sink Trump because in the end, he had his fingers on the pulse of the nation.

Meanwhile, Hillary was never a strong candidate and when you add her mounting scandals to the equation, there was no way she was ever going to wrap this up.

Preliminary takes on the astonishing Donald Trump election

In addition to the surprising nature of the historic event, there are a several other things to be gathered from Trump’s election victory.

First, as I predicted, it certainly appears as though the late deciders went for Trump. There were a number of exit polls that showed Trump got the lions’ share of those who didn’t like either candidate but favored a change. I think the number was 70%.

Second, the Democrats’ racial playbook doesn’t seem to work. As an example, for weeks a parade of Democrats put such emphasis on stirring up North Carolina’s black vote they forgot that the party’s message really doesn’t offer them anything. President Obama and first lady Michelle made numerous appearances in the Tar Heel State. It didn’t work.

Third, so-called “ground game” isn’t enough to overcome a poor candidate and a lack of a message. Thanks to Wikileaks we know Hillary’s own people struggled to find a theme for her to run on. They never really discovered one and they lost.

Hillary’s people tried to make the election about Donald Trump and his behavior. The only problem with such a strategy is the people didn’t care about Trump’s background half as much as they rallied around his promises to enforce the immigration laws and renegotiate trade deals. Americans believed Trump when he said he was going to alter the status quo in foreign relations. He meant it.

The Washington-based foreign policy establishment of both parties must be among the most horrified of all this morning. Trump’s choice for Secretary of State will be one of his most watched – and anticipated -- appointments.

Fox personality Juan Williams said he didn’t think Republicans would be coming forward to serve in the Trump administration. Williams said, “I’m not sure this is good for America.” I think Williams is nuts… Trump’s administration will be stocked with quality people from top to bottom. And if people don’t perform… they’re fired!

Back to the ground game -- no amount of data crunching by the Democrat machine could overcome Trump’s rallies and message.

Fourth, the final numbers won’t be known for days/weeks, but did Trump’s appeal to minority voters pay off for him in key states like Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Michigan?

From what the commentators were saying, Trump received a higher percentage of both black and Hispanic votes than did Mitt Romney four years ago. It just goes to show that Republicans don’t have to soften their message to attract votes. They just need to be sincere.

If Trump is able to follow-through with his “New Deal for black America,” the Republican Party may finally break the Democrats stranglehold on this key voting bloc.

Fifth, with Republicans holding on to majorities in both houses of Congress, real change can take place and I’m not just talking about legislation. Trump’s victory could have some effect on the leadership battle in the House with Paul Ryan’s tepid support of Trump possibly being a factor in who will lead the chamber next year.

In an interview well after midnight Sean Hannity predicted Paul Ryan would not be the Speaker in the next Congress. It’s far too early to know for sure, but the conservative House Freedom Caucus now has more say in who leads the body than at any other time.

Sixth and last, a lot has been said about how Donald Trump was ruining the Republican Party.

With a newly elected Republican president, majorities in Congress and a robust if not dominating presence in state legislatures, the GOP appears to be as strong as ever.

Could it be that Hillary and Obama have led to the destruction of the Democrat party instead? Socialism doesn’t work. There aren’t enough favors and goodies to distribute.

Trump’s victory is the American People’s collective finger in the eye to all of the elites who forced their will on them in the past eight years (if not more). People like their guns and religion. Now hopefully, they can keep them.

In the end, most in the conservative movement rallied around Trump and all share in his win. A lot of work from a lot of people on a lot of different levels went into Trump’s triumph.

There’s hope now for the conservative legislative agenda. Donald Trump will likely be an ally in this regard. But we will all need to remain vigilant in making sure his promises will be kept.

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