Hillary Clinton

In our strong opinion, this is an atypical election cycle that does not follow the normal “rules” or norms of election prediction, and which undermines models reliant on historical data to make predictions. Such a disruptive election means that many of our base assumptions go out the window, and in this case, we believe it yields a situation in which Trump still has a clear path to victory under certain conditions.

A majority of voters are not buying that Donald Trump will follow through with any of his pledges, nor do they think Hillary Clinton will attempt to rein in Wall Street, limit the influence of secret money in politics or make in-state and community college tuition debt-free, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University national poll.

#NeverTrump’s attempt to sneak David French into the presidential conversation should be roundly rejected by conservatives. Plus, Not all of #NeverTrump is in a rush to adopt French as their new language; Republicans who don’t back Trump feeling the pain, and, New poll shows Clinton topping Trump again.

The sexism is less virulent now than it was in 2008, she said, but still she encounters people on rope lines who tell her, “‘I really admire you, I really like you, I just don’t know if I can vote for a woman to be president.’ I mean, they come to my events and then they say that to me.”

Ted Cruz’s candidacy revisited: Did lack of support from the establishment sink him? Plus, Would expanding the debates to include third-parties make for a more competitive general election?; Pressure mounts on Rubio to run again…for the Senate, and, #NeverTrump leader Bill Kristol engages in a certain-to-lose war of words with Trump.

Marco Rubio, Donald Trump and the “favor to be named later” theory. Plus, Libertarians choose Johnson and Weld for “dream ticket.” Now what?; Trump supporters targeting Amish Country in mining for votes, and, Poll shocker: Americans aren’t big fans of either the Republicans or Democrats.

This weekend’s Libertarian Party convention should be interesting to watch, but don’t expect #NeverTrump (or Bernie Sanders backers) to be enthused with the outcome. Plus, Leftist protests carrying Trump’s message for him; Are young people driving the Trump poll surge?, and, Rubio to Trump: Sure, I’ll speak at the convention if you want me to.

Hillary’s defenders say this is tantamount to blaming her for Bill’s infidelities. Of course, she’s not responsible for his wanderings. But as a fully vested member of Bill’s political operation, Hillary had as much interest in forcefully rebutting all allegations of sexual misconduct as he did.

Hillary Clinton broke State Department rules through the use of her private email server during her time as secretary, according to a government report that will be formally released today. The 83-page report from the State Department’s Office of Inspector General (OIG) compounds the problems that have dogged the likely Democratic presidential nominee since before her entry into the race.

The competing interests within the Trump campaign are little more than a distraction for the media. Plus, Trump moves into the realm of professional ground game operations; #NeverTrumper non-believers still pining for Mitt Romney, and, Crooked Hillary’s email scandal about to blow up – once again.

Conservative blogger Erick Erickson may have provided a clue on how to get #NeverTrumpers to support The Donald. Plus, Republicans are warming to Donald Trump because he’s the voters’ outsider of choice; If Trump names Cabinet members ahead of the election, he might be breaking the law, and, Rubio rues his handling of “Marco Roboto” moment in New Hampshire.

Armed with an impeccable resume and pedigree, and an impressive campaign and fundraising apparatus, Hillary has it all — except a rationale for her campaign and the ability to excite voters.

Hillary the Unaccomplished is still playing the gender card. At this point, that’s all she has left in the campaign. She’s been in the public eye for years, but name recognition is not the same as being qualified for the job of president.

The Trump bump is real. Whether Hillary gets one depends on Bernie Sanders. Plus, Has #NeverTrump become #AnyonebutTrump?; Whispers about Newt Gingrich for Trump’s VP are becoming roars, and, Trump to remain on American soil until the election.

Subsidizing prosperous, populous allies and attempting to remake failed states provides little benefit to most Americans, who do the dying and paying. Hillary Clinton’s foreign support actually reinforces Donald Trump’s point: the need for an international policy that advances the interests of the American people.

The good people of #NeverTrump’s biggest flaw is they’re essentially telling people not to participate in this year’s election. Plus, Conservatives don’t always know what we want, but we know what we don’t want; Trump’s poll numbers are rising because Republicans are accepting him, and, Trump now top dog in the Real Clear Politics average.

You would expect that the numbers for the putative Democratic candidate for president would rise in tandem with a rise in the numbers for the Democratic president — and one for which that candidate served in a top position for four years. You would expect that — but it's not happening.

Trump takes the lead over Clinton in a couple recent polls, but he’s still got a long way to go in convincing people he’s for real. Plus, Romney and #NeverTrump giving up the search for a third-party savior; Win or lose, political social media will never be the same after Trump, and, Conservatives receive reassurance that Trump Supreme Court list won’t change.

Trump releases list of potential picks for the Supreme Court; Obama isn’t one of them. Plus, With time passing quickly, both parties are facing big-time opposition to their own candidates; Mark your calendars for the Republican convention, Trump will make it must-see TV, and, Another potential #NeverTrump candidate rules himself out.

It's safe to say that Trump is no one's idea of Mr. Manners. His rudeness toward women was summarized by Fox's Megyn Kelly at the first GOP debate. And the way Trump treated her afterward underlined it. But The New York Times now has no right whatsoever to pass judgment on presidential candidates and their treatment of women.