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President Ouija Board


Obama Fortune Teller

“So, to everyone who voted, I want you to know that I hear you. To the two-thirds of voters who chose not to participate in the process yesterday, I hear you, too.” -- President Barack Obama, November 5, 2014
 
When presidents and political candidates are about to propose something that is unconstitutional or oppressive they often claim to speak for some segment of the American people and their aspirations.
 
Think Huey P. Long’s justification for his corrupt “Share the Wealth” program in the 1930s: “A man is not a dictator when he is given a commission from the people and carries it out."
 
So when Barack Obama claimed to “hear” the two-thirds of voters who chose to not to participate” in the 2014 midterm election our antenna went up looking for any claims from Obama that he had a “commission” from the two-thirds of the American people who expressed themselves by not voting on November 4, 2014.
 
And we were not surprised to hear that Obama’s “commission” was to grant an unconstitutional amnesty to millions of illegal aliens.
 
The good news for Republicans and constitutionalists is that when Obama claims to “hear” voters ask for that policy in particular he is ensuring that the same voters who stayed home in 2014 have little or no incentive to turn-out in 2016 – at least for Democrats who share and have supported his policies.

As Karen Zeigler and Steven A. Camarota of the Center for Immigration Studies noted earlier this summer, “Government data show that since 2000 all of the net gain in the number of working-age (16 to 65) people holding a job has gone to immigrants (legal and illegal).”
 
This is remarkable, concluded Zeigler and Camarota, “given that native-born Americans accounted for two-thirds of the growth in the total working-age population.”
 
Now here’s the key takeaway from Zeigler and  Camarota’s study: “Though there has been some recovery from the Great Recession, there were still fewer working-age natives holding a job in the first quarter of 2014 than in 2000, while the number of immigrants with a job was 5.7 million above the 2000 level.” (Emphasis ours)
 
According to NBC News, voters 18-29 nationwide were only 13 percent of the electorate in 2014 (compared to nearly a quarter for GOP-leaning seniors.) In the 2010 midterms, when Democrats lost a combined 69 House and Senate seats, young voters made up 12 percent of the voting public. In contrast, during Obama’s re-election victory in 2012, nearly one in five voters was under 30.
 
Similarly, this cycle black voters made up 12 percent of the national electorate. That’s compared to 11 percent in 2010 and 13 percent in 2012. Democrats particularly needed high black turnout in Southern states like Georgia and North Carolina.

In North Carolina, where Democrat Kay Hagan lost her seat to Republican Thom Tillis, black voters made up 21 percent of the electorate. In 2012, that figure was 23 percent.
 
These are exactly the same groups that have been most damaged – and disappointed by – Obama’s economic policies and will be damaged even more by his immigration policies.
 
The unemployment rate for blacks (about 11 percent) is more than twice that for whites (about 5 percent) and it has been that way throughout the Obama presidency. And NPR reports although the national unemployment rate has fallen steadily in recent months, youth unemployment remains stubbornly high, and the jobless rate is even higher among young minorities. For young people between the ages of 16 and 24, unemployment is more than twice the national rate, at about 14 percent. For African-Americans, that rate jumps to over 21 percent.
 
About 36 percent of blacks, including 38 percent of black women, are employed in low-wage jobs (earning poverty-level wages or less). Among the white labor force, about 23 percent are employed in low-wage jobs.
 
These potential voters were among the most reliable votes in the Obama coalition and they are the voters who have been hurt most by his economic policies and will be hurt even more by a vast increase in the entry level work force if mostly low-skilled illegal aliens are given legal work status.
 
Back in August, top pollster Kellyanne Conway, President & CEO of the polling company, conducted a poll that found likely voters were unequivocal in their support of immigration policies that protect the American worker. Their sentiment is the inverse of the oft-repeated phrase, “illegal immigrants do the jobs that Americans don’t want to do,” saying instead that these workers should have a fair opportunity to do the jobs that illegal immigrants currently do. (See links to Conway’s poll at the end of this article)
 
And these voters get the economics of illegal immigration and understand that depressed wages are one of the results of allowing a flood of illegal aliens to enter the American workforce.
 
“Raise the pay” is a rallying call for these voters, who believe there are plenty of Americans to do the work and that better pay and more training is an elixir for labor shortages. Working class voters, married women, and political Independents agree with this in dramatic numbers noted Conway.

Despite President Obama and his Democratic Party allies trying to blue sky the numbers; more than 92 million Americans remain out of the labor force. And it is these disappointed job-seekers who likely made up a big chunk of the Obama voters who stayed home this election.
 
The President may be “hearing” a call to double down on his economic and immigration policies from the two-thirds of the electorate who did not participate in the 2014 midterms, but our Magic 8 Ball is telling us “signs point to NO” for a Democratic resurgence if he does so.

For a copy of Kellyanne Conway’s “Friends Family Memo” on her immigration poll please click the following link: Immigration – Public Opinion Realities and Policy Political Opportunities.  
 
For a slide deck featuring Kellyanne Conway’s analysis from the study, please click here:
Immigration – Public Opinion Realities and Policy Political Opportunities – Friends Family Memo- 08 19 2014
 

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