top of page

Keshel Data Analysis Shows President Trump Won: PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ, GA and MN

Following the November 2020 Presidential Election, retired Army Captain and premier data analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes and

discovered alarming anomalies in a number of counties, ones that defy trends that (in some cases) have proved reliable for over 100 years.

Keshel examined the final vote counts in all 50 states compared to the estimated numbers based on changing state dynamics and trends to come up with his estimated voter fraud in each state. He then published reports by county and by state that indicate which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences – color coded in the map green, yellow and red.

FLASH UPDATE! Former President Trump issued the floowing statement regarding the Keshel analysis of the 2020 Presidential Election:

Highly respected Army intelligence captain, Seth Keshel, has just released his Report on National Fraud Numbers with respect to the 2020 Presidential Election. I don’t personally know Captain Keshel, but these numbers are overwhelming, election-changing, and according to Keshel, could be even bigger in that they do not account for cyber-flipping of votes. They show I won the election—by A LOT! Now watch the Democrats coalesce, defame, threaten, investigate, jail people, and do whatever they have to do to keep the truth from surfacing, and let the Biden Administration continue to get away with destroying our Country. The irregularities and outright fraud of this election are an open wound to the United States of America. Something must be done—immediately!

In a post to his popular Telegram channel, Captain Keshel posted his final analysis of the 2020 presidential election:

Excess Biden Votes based on trend analysis in the modern political era, considering population growth/decline, recent voter history, and registration information, including registration by party.

My estimates are always lenient, and do not account for cyber flipping of votes.

Trump won: PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ, GA, MN

Likely/Possible Trump if cyber flipping occurring: NM, VA, CO, NJ, NH

Closer than you thought: WA, OR, RI, CT, HI

You can read the full report at

Looking at the map, where a large divergence is detected (red), this does not in itself prove fraud, but is a clear flag that the numbers should be investigated further.

Likewise, just because something is green doesn’t mean there are no issues with the county. The analysis considers trends, and Keshel considers it “bulletproof” when he has access to party registration numbers. If a county follows the same trends as the past years and current numbers suggest, it goes as green. Audits of green counties might be considered lower priority.

Based on the state-by-state reports, the table below shows the total number of excess Biden votes at over 8 million — this is the number of votes that are oddly above what the trends would suggest. These are based on trend analysis in the modern political era, considering population growth/decline, recent voter history, and registration information, including registration by party.

Keshel explains that his estimates are always lenient, and do not account for cyber-attacks that flip votes more subtly in ways that avoid statistical detection.

Flipped States

Based on this data, if fraudulent votes are removed, Trump would have actually won these states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Minnesota, and thus retained the Presidency.

Potentially-Flipped States

It’s also possible that Trump may have won additional close-call states if there was additional fraud such as cyber-attacks occurring: New Mexico, Virginia, Colorado, New Jersey, New Hampshire.

Close Calls

These states would still have likely been won by Biden, but may have been closer than what was reported: Washington, Oregon, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Hawaii.

Cleanest State: Iowa

Mostly Clean States: Idaho, Wyoming, Arkansas, South Dakota, North Dakota, Mississippi

Worst States: California, New York, New Jersey, Arizona, Washington, Oregon, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada, Minnesota

The next time you hear someone say President Trump and conservative election integrity advocates claims of vote fraud in the 2020 Presidential Election are “without evidence” please direct them to this article or Capt. Seth Keshel’s full report here.

  • 2020 Election

  • Donald Trump

  • COVID restrictions

  • Seth Keshel

  • Data Analysis

  • Voter registrations

  • County audits

  • Elections integrity

  • Election Fraud

  • Pennsylvania

  • Michigan

  • Wisconsin

  • Nevada

  • Arizona

  • Georgia

  • Minnesota

3,334 views11 comments


Charles Wilkins
Charles Wilkins
Aug 06, 2021

TIME FOR ELECTION FRAUD JOE TO GO, Violating his Oath of Office... No more nuts, no more democrat, time to clean house. Wanted for crimes against the United States, those who allowed invasion of our southern borders, against the laws of the United States, Wanted also those involved in transporting illegal aliens around the United States by plane, bus or other commercial carriers, against established State and Federal laws, Wanted those involved in the spread of the covid virus through out the United States in Lew of International laws, ignoring Home land security safety laws an National CDC prevention laws to protect against the spread of the any virus ,Wanted those who appropriated an allowed misuse of government funds not authorized…

Replying to

We are the minority in both Houses of Congress--so impeachment is a virtual impossibility. So, realistically, there is not much we can do. If we retake both Houses in 2022, who knows? The Democrats have set the bar for impeachment very low with their three attempted impeachments of President Trump.


We knew President Trump won these states and the election last November. But the Supreme Court wouldn't hear any of this in court.

So what do we conservatives do to avoid a repeat in 2022 and 2024, folks?


PattyGary Hull
PattyGary Hull
Aug 05, 2021

How can we get concerning data for counties in the state where we reside?

Aug 05, 2021
Replying to

If you go to then look at in state-by-state analysis for your state, you may be able to find the information you are looking for, depending on what level of detail you require. Hope this helps!


For this reason, the presidential election should be held earlier in the term to give authorities time to discern fraud.


Aug 04, 2021

That's nice, but there's not a darn thing we can do about it. I mean, it's not like the party of "science", the -rat party, is going to listen to actual scientific analysis from an actual analytical data expert...C'mon, man...Pfffft...

bottom of page