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Rasmussen Poll: Republicans Maintain 5-Point Lead in Congressional Ballot

Rasmussen Reports has released their latest national telephone and online survey, which found that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 42% would vote for the Democrat. Just three percent (3%) would vote for some other candidate, but another eight percent (8%) are not sure. (To see the survey wording click here.)

The GOP lead is unchanged from last week, when they led by the same 47%-42% margin. Republicans have led the Generic Congressional Ballot all year, although their lead has narrowed since mid-July.


Rasmussen Reports is updating the Generic Congressional Ballot findings weekly on Fridays at 10:30 a.m. Eastern until the midterm elections in November.


In September 2018, before voters handed Democrats their first House majority in eight years, Democrats held a four-point advantage (46% to 42%) in the generic ballot question. As the November 2018 midterms neared, the margin was a statistical dead heat – Republicans 46%, Democrats 45% – in the final poll before Democrats won a slim House majority while Republicans gained Senate seats to maintain control of that chamber.


The survey of 2,500 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on August 28-September 1, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.


The Republican lead is mainly due to a 10-point advantage among independent voters. Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 80% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 43% would vote Republican and 33% would vote Democrat, while seven percent (7%) would vote for some other candidate and 17% are undecided.


Fifty-one percent (52%) of whites, 22% of black voters and 45% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Sixty-two percent (62%) of black voters, 39% of whites and 42% of other minorities would vote Democrat.


The so-called “gender gap” has narrowed in the latest findings, with men (49%) now five points more likely than women voters (44%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates. The gap was 10 points last week.


Voters under 40 favor Democrats by a 16-point margin, 49% to 33%, but voters ages 40-64 favor Republicans 51% to 41%, and the GOP lead is 10 points – 51% to 41% – among voters 65 and older.


Retirees support Republicans over Democrats by a 13-point margin, 52% to 39%, and the GOP has a four-point lead (46%-42%) among private sector workers, while government employees slightly favor Democrats, 46%-45%.


Republicans lead by 11 points, 50%-39%, among voters with incomes between $30,000 and $50,000 a year, while Democrats have a three-point advantage among voters with annual incomes above $100,000.


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5 Comments


Charles Wilkins
Charles Wilkins
Sep 16, 2022

The Treasury Department also performs a critical and far-reaching role in enhancing national security by implementing economic sanctions against foreign threats to the U.S., identifying and targeting the financial support networks of national security threats, and improving the safeguards of our financial systems.Supervising national banks and thrift institutions;Advising on domestic and international financial, monetary, economic, trade and tax policy;Enforcing Federal finance and tax laws;Investigating and prosecuting tax evaders, counterfeiters, and forgers. Except when 150 checks sent into us for "large amount criminal review" that effect the biden crime family, that buck stops with us, sure it's corruption, but we say fxxx the tax payers, and fxxx Congress.

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People better perk Up their ears & Look at what buyden & the Corrupt dems have done/Are doing to Our Country! We can't endure another 2 years of this Mess...Vote OUT Every democRat & the RINO's too!

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It's hard to believe that 42 percent of the people don't understand TRUTH, HONESTY and the other traits that were supposed to be learned in kindergarten. Biden's speech last week demonstrates he must have missed kindergarten and the meaning of TRUTH, HONESTY, TRUSTWORTHINESS and many other traits that define the citizens of the UNITED STATES of AMERICA.

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Agree, but includes voters of all races, and so many others that seem to like what is happening to the USA. Crime, Inflation, High Taxes, Invasion of US Borders, Disrespect of the USA throughout the World, etc. etc.

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